Radical Uncertainty: Decision-Making Beyond the Numbers 豆 0.0分

资源最后更新于 2020-08-26 06:51:56

作者：John Kay

出版社：W. W. Norton & Company

出版日期：2020-01

ISBN：9781324004776

文件格式： pdf

标签： 不确定性 决策 管理

简介· · · · · ·

Much economic advice is bogus quantification, warn two leading experts in this essential book. Invented numbers offer false security; we need instead robust narratives that yield the confidence to manage uncertainty.

Some uncertainties are resolvable. The insurance industry’s actuarial tables and the gambler’s roulette wheel both yield to the tools of probability theory. Most s...